🔎Lighter airdrop: What to expect?
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Here’s what I’ll cover today:
🔎Lighter airdrop: What to expect?
📊 Crypto chart of the week
🗞️ The latest DeFi news
🔎Lighter airdrop: What to expect?
The biggest airdrop of 2025 is likely around the corner.
According to Polymarket, Lighter, the largest tokenless perps DEX, will launch its token on Dec. 29.
While its team hasn’t publicly said anything about Lighter TGE date yet (at the time of writing), Polymarket says there’s an 73% chance its airdrop will happen on Dec. 29, which might be due to bets placed by insiders.
On top of this, an airdrop allocation form has recently been added to the Lighter user interface, which will expire on Dec. 26. Vladimir Novakovski, the founder of Lighter, has also previously hinted that the TGE will happen during the holiday season and has recently changed his X profile picture to the image below:
Given all of these factors, I think there’s a decent chance we will see Lighter launch its token, LIT, in the coming days (most likely on Dec. 29).
Why is there so much hype around Lighter?
If you’ve been active on CT over the past few days, chances are your timeline has been filled with posts about Lighter and its TGE.
I think there are quite a few reasons for this:
Lighter was the first perps DEX to introduce zero-fee perps for retail traders and collect fees only from market makers and high-frequency traders, and the zero-fee model attracted a lot of traders
In a similar way to Hyperliquid, Lighter promised a big airdrop (25% of its token supply will be airdropped at TGE) and built a very strong community
Its team raised $68M in funding at a $1.5 billion valuation from tier-1 VCs such as Founders Fund and Robinhood
The project received a lot of support from Ethereum community, as the exchange is built on a custom Ethereum L2 with verifiable order matching and liquidations
This could be the biggest airdrop since Hyperliquid, so the anticipation is massive.
At the time of its writing, its token LIT is trading at a $3.5 billion FDV on pre-market, which is equivalent to a ~$900 million total airdrop allocation (25% of supply).
What valuation to expect on the TGE day?
As I said previously, it’s not fully confirmed that Lighter will launch its token on Dec. 29, although it is likely.
But I thought I’d share a few thoughts about my TGE expectations anyway.
On one hand, I appreciate that the Lighter team said a few months ago that the TGE is coming in 2025, and it seems likely they actually plan to keep that promise, while many other projects constantly delay their token launches.
On the other hand, the market conditions are horrible right now. Even high-profile new tokens like MON (Monad) have performed terribly, with MON now being below its ICO price only 1 month after TGE.
So my guess is that the Lighter token will trade at an FDV mostly somewhere in the $2-3.5 billion range and that there will be a lot of volatility in the first 24h after TGE. Eventually, if its trading volume doesn’t drop a lot post-TGE, then $LIT could go higher a few days after TGE if BTC also performs decently.
Speaking about Lighter points, here’s what airdrop you could expect based on how many points you have (this valuation table is from Oct. 3):

Most people on CT seem to have higher expectations than I for the Lighter TGE valuation, but I think that there will be a lot of selling pressure in the first 24h from airdrop farmers, and the market conditions are unfortunately not great either.
Still, even at a $2-3.5 billion FDV, the airdrop should be massive for early traders. In case the FDV ends up being higher, even better.
Tokenless Perps DEXs remain some of the best airdrop opportunities to farm.
If you’ve farmed Lighter, congrats and enjoy your airdrop, you deserve it🫡
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Chart of the week
Prediction market, stablecoin, and RWA narratives have surged in mindshare in 2025
Crypto Meme😂
The latest developments in DeFi
Uniswap’s fee switch proposal has passed
Robinhood deployed 1900+ tokenized stocks on Arbitrum so far
Base app went live for everyone in 140+ countries
Michael Selig, a pro-crypto guy, became the new CFTC Chair
Infinex scheduled its Infinex Token Sale for Jan. 3 at $99.99M FDV. The registration for it starts today, and there will be a 1-year token lock
Hyperliquid Foundation recognized the HYPE in the Assistance Fund as burned
Resolv added support for delta-neutral HYPE and SOL strategies to earn higher yield
GMX went live on Ethereum L1, enabling trading and providing liquidity on mainnet
Solana Foundation introduced Kora, a mechanism that enables fee-free transactions and paying fees in any token on Solana
Superform introduced its new SuperVaults, enabling to earn up to 8% APY on USDC, ETH, and WBTC
Euler Finance lending stack went live on HyperEVM
Polygon announced the release of Shift4’s stablecoin settlement platform on Polygon, bringing 24/7 stablecoin payments to global commerce
FX100 introduced 100x non-liquidatable leverage perps
Altura launched its USDT0 stablecoin vault on HyperEVM with 20% base APY. It generates from funding strategies, delta-neutral strategies, staking, restaking, and liquidity provision
Katana launched Katana App v1 - a brand new home screen for DeFi on Katana
Jupiter was integrated into Coinbase for Solana DEX swaps
Tria, a self-custodial neobank, released Season 1 of Tria Points
RateX released its RTX token and airdrop claiming portal
That’s all for this week!
Until next time,
The DeFi Investor
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